Quick rundown of some Senate 2010 contests

Here's a July rundown of a few Senate races that are starting to take shape. All of the tea leafs would show that the GOP is in for a big November. If you look at voter intensity, Obama's diminished support, runaway spending by congress and the president, you have recipes for disaster for a party that controls both houses of congress and the White House.

California: Barbara Boxer v. Republican Carly Fiorina. In most polls, Boxer has a 2-5 point advantage. However, in the most recent poll, Fiorina showed a 2 point lead. Although I would give Boxer a slight edge, it's still open for the taking for Fiorina... on a few points-- Boxer is not a particularly strong candidate; voter intensity is with the GOP; and Boxer is far more liberal than even California is.

Missouri: (R) Roy Blount v. (D) Robin Carnahan. Most handicappers see this as a toss-up or slight Blount advantage. In Missouri, where Obama's high spending is very unpopular and voter intensity is higher among the GOP, I believe Blount wins this, sans a major campaign blunder.

Colorado: (R) Ken Buck v. (D) Michael Bennet. Although Republican Jane Norton and Democrat Andrew Romanoff still are trying to win their parties nomination, I'm putting the favorites in there. Buck runs 5-7 points ahead of Bennet in recent polling. Because Buck is not the establishment Republican and is backed by Tea Party activists, I think Buck has a slight advantage against incumbent and known light-weight Bennet. Lean pickup for the GOP.

Illinois: (R) Mark Kirk and (D) Alexi Giannulious have each ran less than grand campaigns thus far. Giannulious' family bank has tanked, and much of it failed when the Democrat was running the bank. On the other hand, Kirk has embellished his military service (why do they do this?), which makes him look less than trustworthy. This figures to be a battle of who can make the least amount of mistakes from here on it. In an ordinary year, the Democrat political machine would allow the Democrat to win easily. But this is no ordinary year. Tossup.

Indiana: (R) Dan Coats is beating (D) Brad Ellsworth by around 20 points. In a seat held by a Democrat for the past several years, this is a big pickup for the GOP.

Washington: (D) Patty Murray is up against (R) Dino Rossi. In most polls, Murray leads a few points. Rossi has led recently in one or two. Even though this is a Democrat-leaning state and the incumbent is a Democrat with money, this is no lock. As I said above, all of the voter intensity is for the GOP. In an off year election like 2010, history shows the party in the minority almost always gains seats. And since Rossi is a formidable candidate, and with Democrats struggling with policy in DC, there's a decent chance at an upset here. Leans Murray.

Nevada: (D) Senate Leader Harry Reid remains in a fight for his political life. He is still extremely unpopular in his state. Evenso, he has a ton of money, as well as support from the unions and Washington. That said, he is still the underdog to upstart Tea Partier Sharron Angle. This figures to get dirty because that's the only way Reid can win an election anymore--- tear down an opponent.

Florida: (R) Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee. Turncoat Charlie Crist turned to being an Independent after promising to stay with the GOP. This was because of politics, not beliefs. He was getting trounced by Rubio in GOP polling. The two are running neck and neck, being that many Democrats will support him, as liberal Kendrick Meek has no chance of winning. If Crist won, he hasn't said if he would caucus with the GOP or Democrats. I'd still say it's leaning Rubio's way.

Pennsylvania: (R) Pat Toomey will take on (D) Joe Sestak. This is rated as a tossup. I sound like a broken record here-- With more Democrats than Republicans, there lies Sestak's advantage. However, Toomey is seen as the stronger candidate and has been polling several points above Sestak. Leans GOP pickup.

Delaware: (R) Mike Castle is a shoe-in to take VP Biden's old senate seat. GOP pickup.

North Dakota: (R) John Hoeven is also a shoe-in to take a seat from the Democrats. GOP pickup.

Ohio: (R) Rob Portman is trying to save the GOP seat for retiring Voinovich. He's neck and neck with both Democrats vying to beat him. If the GOP has a big night, Portman should retain this GOP seat. Slight GOP advantage.

Replace the Speaker!!

In a breath-taking display of ignorance, Speaker Nancy Pelosi says unemployment checks are the fastest way to create jobs! SAY WHAT?????????? I guess I don't need to press on this topic, the comments speaks for itself.

The blind leading our country...... right off a cliff!!!

Joe Biden is a smart ass

As everybody knows, Joe Biden is not the most eloquent person in the world. But sometimes this guy is really amazing with some of his quotes. In a Wisconsin custard shop, he asked where the ice cream is... After that, he asked the store owner how much he owed for the custard. The owner responded by saying he'd like his taxes to be lower (typical response politicians receive from businesses, mostly tongue in cheek). When Biden heard this, he didn't respond, look annoyed, and walked away. Later in private, he told the store owner why he had to be a smart ass for making that comment?

Ummm, excuse me?? A business owner is a "smart ass" for asking for his taxes to be lower?? All of the egg will be on Biden's face for taking lightly what people in this country are demanding. What they are demanding is the government to get out of the way of the people!

The Harry Reid Brood

Harry Reid, already looked at as a weasel by most in the country (and his state), is dragging his son down as well. Rory Reid, who is running for Nevada Governor, trails Republican Brian Sandoval by 22 points in the race. Reid, who can't distance himself from his dad fast enough, has dropped his last name from his most recent advertising. As if the state won't realize he isn't related (or associated) with his dad. Speaking of, the Senate Majority Leader is still politically crippled. Despite having a huge war chest, he still trails Republican upstart Sharron Angle by 7 points in the race for Nevada Senate in November.

There's no doubt that taking down Harry Reid would be the trophy win of this election cycle for the GOP, ala Tom Daschle in 2004. Let's hope!

Democrat article on Obama

Here's a great article on Obama's naive foreign policy stances by a lifelong liberal Democrat from New York, Mort Zuckerman. Great read:

http://www.usnews.com/articles/opinion/2010/06/18/mort-zuckerman-world-sees-obama-as-incompetent-and-amateur.html?PageNr=1

Oil spill and agenda

A few things to note as we are on day 58 of the BP oil spill:

1. Obama gave his first Oval Office address last night, with underwhelming results. Chris Matthews and Obama lapdog Olbermann both thought he didn't show executive command. Other commentators said it was dry and too little, too late.
2. He is trotting out the Climate bill "Cap and Tax" now, which is hugely unpopular. Never let a crisis go to waste, right Obama?
3. He's putting a moratorium on drilling for the next six months in the gulf. Wonder how many thousands of jobs that will lose?
4. His approval rating is at 42 percent....and 44 percent now have a "strong" disapproval of Obama.
5. The New York Times came out with an exhaustive story the other day about how badly managed the cleanup has been.
6. Louisianan's think Bush handled Katrina better than Obama is handling the oil spill, by a 15 point margin in the poll.

With all that being said, I hope Obama stops being so preachy about how government can solve and handle everything with such precision. This is the latest example that they can't. I don't cast as much blame on Obama as many fellow conservatives will, being that it's a disaster unlike any other. But I do challenge him on saying how poorly Bush did, while most think he's done worse. So far, he hasn't admitted any federal failings... We'll see..

Obama cannot lead

Barack Obama, the cool Harvard Law Grad and former community agitator-- oh, I mean organizer, simply does not know how to lead. It's pretty difficult to turn somebody who is not a leader, into one. Of course, we know that the President of the United States HAS to be a leader. Case in point, whenever there is a difficult situation Obama has to handle, he blames others for the problem, instead of figuring out a way to lead his country out of the mess. His blaming of President Bush is becoming very tiresome. This is true with the BP oil spill (the well was approved by Obama's admin no less than 10 days before the spill) where Obama blamed the Bush Admins lack of regulations. But I do have to ask, if Bush had lax regulations, don't you think over the past year and a half Obama would have addressed this? Anyway, that is just a tired old talking point.

I was reading an article in the LA Times, one of the most liberal papers in the country. The article talked about Obama blaming Bush for bad regulations that may have caused the spill. When reading the reader comments at the end of the article, no less than 65 of the 67 comments were about how Obama cannot take responsibility, and cannot blame somebody else for a problems that the country elected him President to solve. So if 65 of 67 comments are anti-Obama in the LAT, what does that tell you? Maybe nothing, but it does show that people are getting sick and tired of Obama's act.