Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Election 2010 Senate previews

I know we're 11 months away from the 2010 elections, but the pickings are becoming much more sweet for the GOP.

Here are the top showdowns on my mind:
  • Nevada: Harry Reid (D), the Senate Majority Leader looks to be in serious trouble. His approval in the state is only 38%. He trails both GOP possibilities, Sue Lowden 51-41; and Danny Tarkanian 49-43. These polls are consistent with other poll numbers. This would be the crown jewel of the 2010 class, as Reid is the Majority Leader (and very annoying).
  • Connecticut: Chris Dodd (D) who chairs many important committees is in serious trouble. He trails all GOP challengers, and likely GOP opponent Rob Simmons is a GOP strength in the region. Simmons leads by 13 in Rasmussen Reports and 11 in Quinnipiac polls. In addition, the vast majority of voters distrust Dodd because of a few scandels, and disapprove of him.
  • Delaware: Joe Biden's empty seat is up for grabs. Biden's son is the likely Democrat nominee. The GOP's chance is Mike Castle, who is well known and liked in the state. In fact, all the polls have Castle up by 4-8 points.
  • Illinois: Roland Burris, who took Obama's Senate seat, is not running for re-election. If he did, he would get pounded. Anyway, the GOP nominee, Mark Kirk, has a 50/50 chance at winning this seat. Most polls have him even with his Democrat challenger.
  • North Dakota: Byron Dorgan (D) must be praying that the Governor, John Hoeven (R) doesn't run. If Hoeven runs, Dorgan is Dead on Arrival, as all polls say.
  • New York: Kirsten Gillebrand (D) is the fill-in for Hillary Clinton. She is not terribly popular, but has a chance for re-election. Unless a strong GOP candidate, say Rudy Guiliani decides to run. If America's Mayor decides to run, he would be the odds-on favorite to win.
  • Arkansas: Blanche Lincoln (D) is probably the most endangered species in the Senate. She is getting beat by any of her GOP challengers. It would take a slight miracle for her to keep her Senate seat.
  • California: Barbara Boxer (D) has low approval ratings (and is a bitch) but she still might win because this is California after all.
  • Colorado: Michael Bennett (D) has probably less than 50/50 chance of winning election here. Scott McInnis (R) is the favorite in this matchup.
  • Ohio: George Voinovich (R) is retiring. This seat is a toss-up, with the Republican Rob Portman (R) slightly ahead in the polls. The Democrat hasn't been decided yet.
  • Missouri: Kit Bond (R) is retiring. His replacement, Roy Blount is about a 50/50 bet to beat Jean Carnahan.
One thing to note: Any 50/50 battle in 06 and 08 went to the Democrats. This year is on the GOP side. People are already getting sick of the Democrats. With that being said, many toss ups may in fact be easy GOP victories.

GO GOP!!!!

Climate-gate

So I'm sure everybody is aware of Climate-gate. Oh, except the liberal media. So little has been said on this in the mainstream media. It's almost funny, if it weren't so pathetic. So the lead researchers and defenders of global warming at East Anglia University had their emails hacked into. Many of the lead scientists are questioning what to do with the scientific data that shows that global warming may in fact not be as certain as they say. Of course, in their data all of these facts were not put into account.

So whatever ones mindset on whether global warming is primarily manmade would have to stop and wonder why data from only one side of the argument is being touted. While the other side of the debate is being shut off. If it's true science, then let ALL of the data prove it, not just the data that will make the UN, Al Gore, and these universities enough money to buy a small country.

And by the way, why does Gore still travel by private gulf stream if he is so into this "science"?

The facts on the ground remain-- The Earth goes through warming and cooling periods. Over the previous 12 years, it warmed some. Over the past 12 years, it's cooled some. And over the past century and a half, the temperature has gone up a whopping 1.5 degrees. Not exactly enough for us to deplete our economy with cap and trade legislation.

Obama's hypocrisy on the deficit

Obama is right that the Bush administration let the deficit balloon out of control. However, for Obama to say this is really hypocritical. Obama's deficit is so far beyond the rate at what Bush rose it, he has no place to defend it. And when you add in the estimated 2.25 trillion his new health care plan will cost, he REALLY should just shut his mouth up.

Stimulus

Another word on the Stimulus. Despite White House Spokesman Robert Gibbs and Obama STILL declaring the stimulus a success, here's another factoid that would be hard to defend.... On average per dollar spent thus far, the stimulus has cost an average of 245K per job. It's hard to defend this number. I think most of the unemployed would take the 245K and invest it in gold these days and call it good.

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Obama's gift.... to the GOP

This administration has so far delivered :
  • 3x yearly average annual deficit spending vs Bush (who was also a big spender).
  • A national debt that will increase 2X over the next 8 yrs vs total debt incurred over the previous 8 yrs.
  • Unemployment at 10.2%, not including those who have given up looking for a job.
  • A $787B "stimulus" which promised to keep unemployment this year at 8%, but is just a slush fund for Democrat interest groups and public sector bailouts.
  • Since the stimulus, the US has lost 2M more jobs.
  • A Cap and Trade bill (Cap and Tax) that promises to tax every US household over the next couple decades. This despite the public is strongly in opposition to this bill.
  • A government takeover of healthcare (yes it is liberals) that is extremely unpopular among the American public. And, it has NO bi-partisan support....and, it includes public taxed funds for abortions.
  • No transparency- For an administration who campaigned on transparency, they lack this in every regard. Obama stated on the campaign trail that he would allow bills to be debated for 72 hours, also allowing Americans to view bills online and to watch them on C-Span. Yet on several bills, namely the Cap and Trade and Healthcare bill, they were rammed down, with less than 24 hours of debate.
  • Thuggish Chicago tactics- The Saul Alinsky strategy. Instead of agreeing to disagree on issues, they take the hardball tactics of degrading, mis-interrpruting the oppositions point of views. If you don't believe me, just listen to Obama's next speech... it'll be full of, "the other side would like you to believe...." instead of saying there are honest disagreements. Also allowing his coherts to say the Fox News Channel is not a news channel...and not allowing his administration to be interviewed by Fox. Ummm, can you say immature??
  • On his third, yes third day of office, he renewed public funds for overseas abortion that Bush outlawed. Nice!!! Way to "understand" both sides of the debate Obama.
  • Administration Officials- Saying he would not have lobbyists in his administration---- LIE!!! Do a Google search for these characters, either appointed czars, or cabinet members. Here's a few examples:
  • Van Jones (Technology Czar): Fired for believing 9/11 was an inside job by the Bush Administration. Also an admitted Communist.
  • Cass Sunstein (Czar of Information): His words: "Under our proposal, the word marriage would no longer appear in any laws, and marriage licenses would no longer be offered or recognized by any level of government." Also believes animals should be able to sue humans, and believes animals have the same rights as humans.
  • Linda Douglass: Saying her favorite philosopher was Communist General Mao Tse Tung.
  • Kevin Jennings, Safe School Czar: Openly promotes homosexuality in schools. Didn't report a rape case when a student told him about it when he was a teacher.
  • Steve Rattner, (Car Czar): Steve Rattner is one of the most troubled of Obama's many picks thanks to a burgeoning kickbacks scandal.
  • John Holdren (Science Czar): Believes life doesn't begin at conception, but at whenever we want it to begin. "They aren't humans until they've been socialized." Also, he promoted the sterilization agent in drinking water.

Monday, November 9, 2009

Healthcare mess passes in House

On Saturday night, the healthcare mess, which includes a public option, passed in the House by a 220-215 vote. All Republicans, sans one, voted against this bill. In addition, 39 Democrats voted against the bill. And there would have been dozens of more Democrats who would have voted against the bill had Democrat Bart Stupak's provision of not including funds for abortions been included in the bill.

Now we learn that the liberals in the House are going to strip away the bill that would not fund taxpayer abortions, therefore allowing our tax dollars to pay for abortions. This will not only lose the 1 Republican in the House, but it will lose Stupak, and many other Democrats.

Don't you just love it when a political party keeps shooting themselves in the foot?

An another thing- Didn't this President promise bipartisanship? How is that working out for us? Well, things will be a changin' when we hit the 2010 elections.. Nighty Night Donky!!

Big GOP Night

The first step to the GOP regaining its footing as the party in power. Gubernatorial candidates Bob McDonnell (R-Virginia) and Chris Christie (R-New Jersey) won decisive matches in this off year election. Here are a few nuggets that can be gained by these elections, leading up to the 2010 elections:
  1. Virginia- In a state that Obama won by 7 points, Republican McDonnell won by 18 points. That's a 25 point swing. Although this is not all Obama's fault, the majority in Virginia disapprove of his presidency. This includes such important Virginia issues as Cap and Trade and Card check.
  2. New Jersey-In a state Obama won by 15 points, Christie won by 5 points. That's a 20 point swing. For those Obama apologists who say it didn't matter much after the loss, take note that Obama made 6 campaign stops for Democratic loser Jon Corzine. This includes the Sunday before the Tuesday elections. So this DOES matter.