Saturday, July 31, 2010

Reid v. Angle and Colorado Senate Race

Well, the matchup between Senate Majority leader Harry Reid and conservative Republican Sharron Angle is neck and neck. Despite Reid being in the dumps all year and being incredibly unpopular in his home state, he's surviving thus far. This was something I've warned for several months; he has the political ability (e.g. finances, sliming opponent) to win this race. And when you add the evil, corrupt unions, he has more than a fighters chance.

Despite getting a conservative, I do believe Republican Sue Lowden would have been a much better fit for Republicans. I don't dislike Angle, she is just viewed as too far to the right to get elected by too many. Why didn't Republicans vote for the safer choice in Lowden? She most likely would have walked to victory against Reid. And it's not like Lowden disagrees with Republicans on anything, solid on social issues, economic issues, as well as national security.

In the Colorado Senate race, could there be the possibility of the same thing happening? So far, it seems that Republican Ken Buck is more liked than Angle. Buck is still running close with establishment favorite Jane Norton. I personally like them both, but think Norton has less of a chance to make a big mistake and give the race to the Democrats (either Romanoff or Bennet). As of now, it's the GOP's race to lose. I still haven't decided who I'm going to support, Norton or Buck.

Rangel, Waters, Kerry and failed taxes

The House Ways and Means Committee former Chair, Democrat Charles Rangel, has been charged with 13 ethics violations by his colleagues. To think that a man like him was in charge of creating tax laws is appalling. Of the 13 ethics violations, the majority have to do with finances- failing to report rental income, etc. Even Obama is now calling for Rangel to step down. Of course the better alternative for Republicans is if Rangel fights these charges and creates a huge circus for Democrats before the mid-term elections.

Another leading House Democrat, Maxine Waters, is under investigation for working with a bank to distribute them money on which her husband held stock on. This is an ongoing investigation.

We also have failed Presidential Candidate John Kerry cheating on paying his yacht taxes in Massachusetts by docking his 7 million dollar yacht in neighboring Rhode Island. After conservatives called him out on this, Kerry's "decided" to pay the tax anyway. What a man!!

LA Dodger owner Frank McCourt has not paid taxes on revenues for over 6 years now. When the tax man cometh, watch out. The reason why I mention this-- McCourt is a committed liberal and donor to everything Democrat.

Has to be asked once again-- Has Speaker Pelosi "drained the swamp" like she promised? Seems like she looks the other way when Democrats act this way!

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Quick rundown of some Senate 2010 contests

Here's a July rundown of a few Senate races that are starting to take shape. All of the tea leafs would show that the GOP is in for a big November. If you look at voter intensity, Obama's diminished support, runaway spending by congress and the president, you have recipes for disaster for a party that controls both houses of congress and the White House.

California: Barbara Boxer v. Republican Carly Fiorina. In most polls, Boxer has a 2-5 point advantage. However, in the most recent poll, Fiorina showed a 2 point lead. Although I would give Boxer a slight edge, it's still open for the taking for Fiorina... on a few points-- Boxer is not a particularly strong candidate; voter intensity is with the GOP; and Boxer is far more liberal than even California is.

Missouri: (R) Roy Blount v. (D) Robin Carnahan. Most handicappers see this as a toss-up or slight Blount advantage. In Missouri, where Obama's high spending is very unpopular and voter intensity is higher among the GOP, I believe Blount wins this, sans a major campaign blunder.

Colorado: (R) Ken Buck v. (D) Michael Bennet. Although Republican Jane Norton and Democrat Andrew Romanoff still are trying to win their parties nomination, I'm putting the favorites in there. Buck runs 5-7 points ahead of Bennet in recent polling. Because Buck is not the establishment Republican and is backed by Tea Party activists, I think Buck has a slight advantage against incumbent and known light-weight Bennet. Lean pickup for the GOP.

Illinois: (R) Mark Kirk and (D) Alexi Giannulious have each ran less than grand campaigns thus far. Giannulious' family bank has tanked, and much of it failed when the Democrat was running the bank. On the other hand, Kirk has embellished his military service (why do they do this?), which makes him look less than trustworthy. This figures to be a battle of who can make the least amount of mistakes from here on it. In an ordinary year, the Democrat political machine would allow the Democrat to win easily. But this is no ordinary year. Tossup.

Indiana: (R) Dan Coats is beating (D) Brad Ellsworth by around 20 points. In a seat held by a Democrat for the past several years, this is a big pickup for the GOP.

Washington: (D) Patty Murray is up against (R) Dino Rossi. In most polls, Murray leads a few points. Rossi has led recently in one or two. Even though this is a Democrat-leaning state and the incumbent is a Democrat with money, this is no lock. As I said above, all of the voter intensity is for the GOP. In an off year election like 2010, history shows the party in the minority almost always gains seats. And since Rossi is a formidable candidate, and with Democrats struggling with policy in DC, there's a decent chance at an upset here. Leans Murray.

Nevada: (D) Senate Leader Harry Reid remains in a fight for his political life. He is still extremely unpopular in his state. Evenso, he has a ton of money, as well as support from the unions and Washington. That said, he is still the underdog to upstart Tea Partier Sharron Angle. This figures to get dirty because that's the only way Reid can win an election anymore--- tear down an opponent.

Florida: (R) Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee. Turncoat Charlie Crist turned to being an Independent after promising to stay with the GOP. This was because of politics, not beliefs. He was getting trounced by Rubio in GOP polling. The two are running neck and neck, being that many Democrats will support him, as liberal Kendrick Meek has no chance of winning. If Crist won, he hasn't said if he would caucus with the GOP or Democrats. I'd still say it's leaning Rubio's way.

Pennsylvania: (R) Pat Toomey will take on (D) Joe Sestak. This is rated as a tossup. I sound like a broken record here-- With more Democrats than Republicans, there lies Sestak's advantage. However, Toomey is seen as the stronger candidate and has been polling several points above Sestak. Leans GOP pickup.

Delaware: (R) Mike Castle is a shoe-in to take VP Biden's old senate seat. GOP pickup.

North Dakota: (R) John Hoeven is also a shoe-in to take a seat from the Democrats. GOP pickup.

Ohio: (R) Rob Portman is trying to save the GOP seat for retiring Voinovich. He's neck and neck with both Democrats vying to beat him. If the GOP has a big night, Portman should retain this GOP seat. Slight GOP advantage.

Friday, July 2, 2010

Replace the Speaker!!

In a breath-taking display of ignorance, Speaker Nancy Pelosi says unemployment checks are the fastest way to create jobs! SAY WHAT?????????? I guess I don't need to press on this topic, the comments speaks for itself.

The blind leading our country...... right off a cliff!!!