I haven't done a post in a couple weeks. It's not the gloom I've felt being a conservative. :) Work has been pretty busy.
Anyway, here's a rundown of what I've seen from the polls over the past several weeks and where we are today:
On September 25th, right before the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac, AIG, etc. economic problems, McCain led a Real Clear Politics average of 2.1 points. Ever since then , Obama has had a lead that kept growing and growing. At certain points during this surge, there were polls that made it look like things were close again. But then we'd see more tracking polls with a wide lead for Obama. As for whether McCain should have suffered from this, it's only natural. Whenever bad news hits, the party in the White House will almost always receive the brunt of the criticism. As I posted previously, this thing is everybody's fault, not just Bush.
As of this past week, the average is 5.9 for Obama. Some of the most accurate polls in 2004 Investors Business Daily and Rasmussen, have the race even closer than that. So even though McCain is looking for a small miracle, it is still very possible. There are some things that will have to break his way in the final 5 days. We'll see....
